NFL Picks - Week 16 - 2008

Here are the Week 16 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 16 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Houston (-7) at Oakland. I'm gonna ride Houston and say that they won't slip up on the road against the Raiders.

Sleeper Pick: Kansas City (+4) over Miami. I have a feeling that the Chiefs will be pesky against the Dolphins this week. Miami has been good this season, but they don't score a lot of points, so I think KC will be able to keep the game within a field goal at home.

Danger Game: Chicago (-4) over Green Bay. Green Bay has been horrible of late, but I think they'll be able to throw the ball on the Bears, so I'm not so sure that Chicago will be able to cover the spread. I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears ran all over the Packers either, so I'll stay away from this one.

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NFL Picks - Week 15 Standings

It only took until Week 15, but I finally beat out Joe from What's The 401?!?! and Ed from Ed The Sports Fan with a 7-6-3 record against the spread. It's also the first week I've finished over .500.

Here is a look at the Week 16 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

NFL Picks - Week 15 - 2008

Here are the Week 15 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 15 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Philadelphia (-14) over Cleveland. Aslong as Brian Westbrook is playing for the Eagles and Ken Dorsey is starting for the Browns, then I don't see how the Eagles don't steam roll right over the Browns in this game.

Sleeper Pick: Baltimore (-2) over Pittsburgh. I'm really sold on the Ravens, especially at home, and I think they will surprise everyone and beat the Steelers this week.

Danger Game: Dallas (-3) over NY Giants. I honestly think Dallas is going to win this game, but it probably won't be by much, which mean the Giants could still cover the spread. There's also the possibility that Tony Romo chokes the big one again.

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NFL Picks - Week 14 Standings

Joe from What's The 401?!?!, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan and I all took L's against the spread this week.

Here is a look at the Week 15 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

NFL Picks - Week 14 - 2008

Here are the Week 14 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 14 -2008:
Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Tennessee (-13.5) over Cleveland. Cleveland will be starting Ken Dorsey at QB and they are horrible against the run. The Titans are playing at home with extra rest, against a team that struggles against the run and is starting a third string QB. I like the Titans big in this one.

Sleeper Pick: Houston (+6.5) at Green Bay. I like Houston to cover this game. Steve Slaton has been great the past few weeks and will go up against a struggling Packers defense. This one could be a shoot out, but I think the Texans have enough fire power to keep the score within 6 points.

Danger Game: Carolina (-3) over Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay already crushed Carolina in Tampa, so you would think that Carolina would even the score, but I'm betting this game is going to be close and I won't no part in the 3 point spread.

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NFL Picks - Week 13 Standings

Joe from What's The 401?!?! won again this week with a record of 9-7 ATS to beat out Me & Ed from Ed The Sports Fan.

Here is a look at the Week 14 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

NFL Picks - Week 13 - 2008

Here are the Week 13 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 13 -2008:
Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Tennessee (-11) at Detroit. Tennessee is coming off their first loss of the season and I think they will want to try and take it out on Detroit by pounding them on the ground. Detroit is the worst team in the NFL against the run and running the ball is what the Titans do best offensively. It's possible Detroit might play better because they are playing on Thanksgiving, but I've seen better Detroit teams than this one get blown out on Turkey Day.

Sleeper Pick: Seattle (+12.5) against Dallas. Seattle was the only underdog I picked this week that most people probably won't be picking. That's pretty much the only reason I have them as the sleeper pick of the week. I think 12.5 points is a lot, but Seattle sucks so they could easily get blown out by Dallas. Seattle is the big underdog that I think is most likely to cover though.

Danger Game: Green Bay (-3) over Carolina. I don't trust Carolina on the road at all and Green Bay's defense has been shaky against the run and New Orleans was even able to expose their pass defense. If I had to pick a team in this game I would go with Green Bay to bounce back at home, but I wouldn't bet against Carolina beating them either, which is why I would stay away from this one.

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NFL Picks - Week 12 Standings

Joe from What's The 401?!?! had a dominating record of 10-6 ATS this week to beat out Me & Ed from Ed The Sports Fan. One of these weeks I will break .500.

Here is a look at the Week 13 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

My only thought about these spreads is what is up with the San Diego/Atlanta spread? San Diego is a 5.5 point favorite over the Falcons. Looks like the Falcons are getting no respect right now on the road. Other than that I think these spreads are pretty fair.

NFL Picks - Week 12 - 2008

Here are the Week 12 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 12 -2008:
Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: New England (+2) at Miami. The Patriots found out last week how tough it can be to beat a team twice in one season after losing to the Jets at home. Even though the Pats historically struggle in Miami, I think they'll be motivated to get some revenge on the Dolphins for laying that whooping on them earlier this season, so I'm rolling with them as my best bet in a week where most games could probably go either way.

Sleeper Pick: Seattle (+3.5) against Washington. Washington's offense has been a little shaky the past few weeks and they haven't been explosive on the road since early in the season. With Matt Hasselback back under center for the Seahawks, I think they will put up a fight against the Redskins and cover the spread.

Danger Game: Baltimore (-1) over Philadelphia. I honestly would not recommend betting on half of these games this week, but if there was one game I would definitely stay away from it's got to be the Ravens and Eagles. The Eagles are coming off an embarrassing tie against the Bengals and I think they might bounce back this week against the Ravens, but at the same time they might put up another stinker.

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NFL Picks - Week 11 Standings

Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?! all took an L this week ATS. Hopefully this week will bring some better picking.

Here is a look at the Week 12 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

NFL Picks - Week 11 - 2008

Here are the Week 11 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 11 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Chicago (-5.5) at Green Bay. Green Bay has had trouble stopping the run, so you might see a heavy dosage of Matt Forte in this game. For that reason alone I think the Bears have a good chance not only covering, but winning this game. In my mind, this should be a 3 point spread, so I'll roll with the extra 2.5 points.

Sleeper Pick: Kansas City (-5) against New Orleans. I'm gonna go way out on a limb here and say that Kansas City's offense has been playing good enough to score some points on a weak New Orleans defense. New Orleans is not great on the road or on grass either, so I'll take a chance with Kansas City covering the spread. This one just as easily could end up 38-10 Saints though.

Danger Game: Dallas (+1.5) at Washington. A desperate Dallas team with a returning Tony Romo vs. a Washington team that has been struggling to score lately. I don't know which Cowboys team is going to show up and Washington has had Dallas' number lately, so I'd stay away from this game.

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NFL Picks - Week 10 Standings

Joe from What's The 401?!?! was the big winner in Week 1o going 10-4. Ed from Ed The Sports Fan was right behind him at 9-5 and I managed to be pull off a respectable 7-7. Now if I could just break .500.

Here is a look at the Week 11 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

The Patriots have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Jets and have covered in 7 of those. The Jets have played well the last two weeks, but they also beat two struggling teams in the Bills and Rams, so I'm taking the Pats.

I'm finally sold on Atlanta and I think with their running game they should be able to put up big points against the Broncos. Their defense has been good enough that they should be able to slow down the Broncos offense as well.

I don't think Miami should be a 10.5 point favorite of anyone right now, so I'm going to stick with the Raiders for now.

Both the Giants and Ravens are hot right now, so this one was a tough one to pick. I'm going to assume that the Ravens defense will be good enough to slow down the Giants a little bit and maybe Eli Manning is due for a bad game. If Joe Flacco blows up this game could be a blowout though.

Houston sucks on the road and I think Indy will be able to put up some points on that suspect Houston defense.

The Packers and Bears are two evenly matched teams in my mind right now and I think this spread should be less than 5.5, so I'm rolling with the Bears. GB also has trouble stopping the run, so Matt Forte might run wild in this one. The Packers are also just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 against the Bears.

Tennessee has been a good bet all season, so I'm going to keep riding them for now.

Philly should be able to score some points on the Bengals and I think they will score enough to cover the 9.5 point spread.

The Chiefs offense has actually been playing well lately and the Saints can't stop anyone and have problems on the road. I think the Saints will win, but this one could actually be pretty close.

Detroit is awful and even though Carolina struggled to score points against the Raiders last week, they are at home now where they have played much better this season.

Tampa Bay is a tough place to play, but they haven't been playing great the past three weeks, and I think the Vikings can hang with them on the road. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at Tampa Bay, but since this season has been so unpredictable, I'm picking the Vikings.

Believe it or not the 49ers are better than the Rams in almost every category, however, I can't see how they can be a 6 point favorite of anyone right now.

Arizona typically has trouble in Seattle, but I think that will change this week. The spread is small enough for me to feel comfortable picking the Cardinals to cover.

Pittsburgh and San Diego is a tough one for me to pick. I might end up switching this pick to the Steelers, because I'm worried about how the Chargers offense will play on the road.

I'm assuming that Tony Romo will play and that Clinton Portis is not 100% healthy. If that is the case then I will be sticking with Dallas, who needs this game badly.

Buffalo and Cleveland are both struggling right now, so this game could go either way. I think the Buffalo crowd will be pumped up for the Monday Night game, but this one should be close and I'll take the Browns to cover.

NFL Picks - Week 10 - 2008

Here are the Week 10 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 10 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Arizona (-9.5) over San Francisco. The only chance the 49ers have in this game is if Mike Singletary can get his defense so riled up that they can go out there with a ton of energy and force Kurt Warner to make some turnovers. If that doesn't happen, then I don't see how the 49ers can hang with the Cardinals, especially in Arizona which has become a tought place to play.

Sleeper Pick: St. Louis (+8.5) at NY Jets. The Jets beat Buffalo last week, but Brett Favre has still been horrible lately. Maybe he is due for a great game, but I think the Rams will be able to hang around in this one and cover the spread.

Danger Game: Philadelphia (-3) over NY Giants. I'm not going near any NFC East game that has a spread of 3 points. Philly needs this game badly to put themselves in good position to make a run for the playoffs and the Giants just keep winning every week, except for that one hiccup in Cleveland. It's anyone's guess what will happen in this one.

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NFL Picks - Week 9 Standings

Once again, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan beat out me and Joe from What's The 401?!?! in Week 9 finishing 8-6. I think this season is the worst I've ever done against the spread and I don't think I've been over .500 in a week yet.

Here is a look at the Week 10 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

Denver is 0-5 against the spread and they haven't played great on the road all season, so I'm going to roll with Brady Quinn and the Browns

Jacksonville has not been playing well lately and they are on the road, so I'm picking Detroit cover.

I can't bet against the Titans right now, especially since if the Bears have Rex Grossman at QB.

New England and Buffalo is a tough one for me to pick, so I'm rolling with the Patriots because they have covered three straight times against the Bills.

I'm looking for New Orleans to make a move in the NFC South and I think it starts this week against the Falcons. The Saints have covered 6 of the last 8 against the Falcons.

The Rams have covered the last 4 times they have played the Jets, plus I think this spread might be a little high.

Miami has also covered the last 4 times in their matchup against the Seahawks. This spread might be a little high, but I like the way the Dolphins have played lately and the Seahawks have to fly across the country.

I still think Indy has trouble with physical teams and the Steelers were able to shut down the Washington offense pretty easily. I don't think the Colts are physical enough to run on the Steelers and I think Pittsburgh will be able to cover no matter who plays at QB.

The Packers have covered 4 of the last 5 against the Vikings and I think they are a better team then the Vikings anyway.

Oakland sucks and Carolina has been playing well, which means Oakland will probably cover but I still have to go with Carolina.

The Chargers are 15.5 point favorites against the Chiefs, who have actually been playing pretty well offensively. I have to go with the points on this one and take the Chiefs.

I think Philly really needs to win this game, but I'm still picking the Giants to cover.

Baltimore has covered three straight games, so I'm gonna ride them in this one against the Texans.

Arizona should be able to handle the 49ers pretty easily at home, it's as simple as that.

NFL Picks - Week 9 - 2008

Here are the Week 9 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 9 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Philadelphia (-6.5) at Seattle. As much as I hate betting on the Eagles, because they always seem to let the other team hang around in games, I think they are the best bet this week. Seattle got a big win over the 49ers last week, but don't be fooled into thinking they are any good. Their QB is still Seneca Wallace and I think the Philly defense will give him fits. Hopefully McNabb bring his A-Game and a healthy Brian Westbrook helps lead the Eagles to a 30 point plus performance.

Sleeper Pick: Miami (+3) at Denver. Even though I have sucked overall every week ATS, I am now 6-2 on my sleeper picks. Chad Pennington has been playing well and the Dolphins have two running backs who can hurt that weak Denver defense. They also have that crazy offense, which I'm assuming since Denver's D is weak they will have some problems with it. Miami has covered against Denver 5 games in a row and 6 out of the last 7 overall.

Danger Game: Tampa Bay (-8.5) at Kansas City. Normally you would expect a blowout in this one, but Tampa Bay's offense has been lackluster the past few weeks. That could change against a Kansas City team with a bad defense, but at the same time I wouldn't be surprised if Tampa Bay won 17-10.

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NFL Picks - Week 8 Standings

Ed from Ed The Sports Fan beat out me and Joe from What's The 401?!?! in Week 8 finishing 7-6-1. I don't think I have gotten more than 7 right in a week yet, but I am not going to give up on posting the spreads every week just because I suck at it.

Here is a look at the Week 9 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

Houston has been hot of late offensively, so I'm gonna stick with them to keep things rolling against the Vikings. My only doubt with them is that they are not a good road team historically.

I just can't bet on Cincinnati anymore, but with my luck they will probably play well this week and cover.

I'm thinking about switching my pick of Tampa Bay, because they have struggled to score points on the road, but at the same time I really don't like picking the Chiefs.

Cleveland is starting to turn things around and I think they will beat the Ravens at home.

Buffalo has covered in 7 of the last 9 matchups against the Jets, they are tough to beat at home, they are coming off a tough loss, and Brett Favre has been making some suspect passes of late, so I'm rolling with Buffalo.

Arizona is a better team then the Rams and I think they will win the game, but this one could be a push.

Chicago at home coming off a bye and I think their defense will play better than they did against the Vikings.

I think Green Bay will be able to pass the ball a little bit on the Titans and keep the game close. They will have to avoid turning the ball over though.

Miami has covered 5 straight times against Denver and 6 of the last 7. I also think the combination the Miami running game and a rejuvenated Chad Pennington will be able to exploit the Denver defense.

This is Atlanta's second road game in a row and they have to travel all the way across the country. I think that Oakland might be able to pull off a mini-upset in this one.

Even though Dallas is banged up, I think they will be up to play the divisional rival Giants and make some plays on defense to at least keep the game within a touchdown.

Seattle had their moment on glory last week against the 49ers and I think Philadelphia with a healthy Westbrook is just too much for them to deal with.

I think the Patriots can stay within a field goal in this one, even though I'm a little worried about Peyton Manning going off against their secondary.

I actually think Washington is a dark horse to win the Super Bowl and on Monday Night I think they will be out to gain some respect against the Steelers.

NFL Picks - Week 8 - 2008

Here are the Week 8 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 8 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Washington (+7.5) at Detroit. I would like to think that Washington is a solid enough team to be able to pound Detroit on the road. They have struggled to score points the last two weeks at home, but I'll stick with the Redskins to be the best bet this week.

Sleeper Pick: Baltimore (+7) against Oakland. I think I am 5-2 with my sleeper picks this year, which isn't bad considering they are usually games where most people are picking the other team to cover. Baltimore is actually favored in their game, but I think most people would pick Oakland because the spread seems a little high. I don't like this Raiders team on the road against a tough Baltimore D, so I'm counting on that D to create some points for the Ravens and cover the 7 point spread.

Danger Game: San Deigo (+3.5) against New Orleans. Too many factors to consider in this game to bet on it. Both teams are not good on the road and since this game is in London then to me that's a road game for both of them. New Orleans just had some news about some of their players possibly doping. They also have a ton of injuries and we don't know what they are going to get from Marques Colston who returned last week. The Chargers should be able to pass on the Saints, but the Saints might be able to pass and run it at will on the Chargers, so it's tough to know for sure who the advantage goes to. I'm staying away from this one.

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NFL Picks - Week 7 Standings

Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan and Joe from What's The 401?!?! continue to get beatdown weekly by the spread, with me taking the worst beating of all. At this point, you might as well choose the opposite of what I pick. You'd probably win a lot of money.

Here is a look at the Week 8 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:

Ok, I'm going to go into a few reasons why I picked each game, so you can at least see my logic for picking the wrong spread.

I don't trust Oakland on the road right now, but at the same time I don't think Baltimore should be favored by 7 points over almost any team, so I may switch that pick to Oakland.

Drew Brees should be able to throw on San Diego and both teams need that game badly, so I went with New Orleans to cover, but I think San Diego will win the game.

Kansas City is horrible right now and even though I am down on the Jets and Brett Favre after the stinker they put up against Oakland, I still think that Favre will be able to put up a lot of points on them at home.

Buffalo is just a better team than Miami right now and I still don't think that Buffalo is getting enough love from the oddsmakers right now.

Atlanta has been excellent lately and Philadelphia tends to let teams hang around, so I think Atlanta has enough balance on offense to cover the spread.

Don't be fooled by the Rams performance the last two weeks. After Monday's blowout of Denver, the Patriots should probably be at least a 10 point favorite at home against them.

I still can't figure out this Carolina team, but I think Arizona has enough offense to keep the game close or even win it. Unless Kurt Warner turns the ball over too much.

Washington might actually be a more explosive team on turf, so they should be able to score a ton of points against the Lions and their defense is good enough to hold the Lions one dimensional offense in check.

Cleveland has played good enough defensively the last couple weeks to make me believe they have a chance to cover the spread against Jacksonville, despite the awfulness of Derek Anderson.

I always like Pittsburgh at home and their defense has been playing great. I haven't been impressed with the Giants the past two weeks and I think the Steelers D might give Eli some problems.

Seattle is horrible right now and I'm not sure they can hang with any team on the road right now. San Francisco has been putting up a decent amount of points every week as well.

I'll probably change this pick to Houston on second thought. They have enough offensively to put up a lot of points on the Bengals D and I'm not sure the Bengals would be able to keep up.

I like Tennessee at home and I don't like Indy on the road. Tennessee is the more physical team and Indy has had problems with that all season. Since it's a Monday Night game and Indy needs a win badly, I wouldn't be completely surprised to see the Colts pull this game out somehow. I'll stick with the Titans though.

NFL Picks - Week 7 - 2008

Here are the Week 7 picks from Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?!.

NFL Picks - Week 7 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Dallas (+6.5) at St. Louis. Whether Romo plays or not, the Rams had their moment last week against Washington and I think they will go back to getting pounded this week. Plus Dallas is coming off of a loss, so they should have some extra motivation, especially defensively. I really like Tennessee, Miami, Houston, Tampa Bay, and the Jets this week too.

Sleeper Pick: Cleveland (-7) at Washington. I dunno if a game all three of us picked is a sleeper, but I think that Cleveland has a good chance to cover the 7 point spread against Washington. They are one of the bigger underdogs of the week, so that qualifies them as a sleeper pick to me.

Danger Game: Chicago (+3) against Minnesota. This is one of those games that can really go either way. Most people would favor Chicago at home, but Minnesota is certainly capable of beating the Bears. The fact that all 3 of us picked the Bears to cover in what should be a close game makes me think this one is not going to go as planned. I never like 3 point spreads either between evenly matched teams, it's likely that this one will end up in a push. I would stay away from this game if possible.

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NFL Picks - Week 6 Standings

Ed from Ed The Sports Fan dominated the competition this week by going an amazing 11-3 against the spread. Joe from What's The 401?!?! and I managed to finish at .500 for the week and if you have been following along, you know that is big news for me.

Here is a look at the Week 7 spreads and who I would pick as of right now:
Tennessee is still not getting the respect of an elite team when it comes to the odds makers. The 8 point spread is a decent sized one and it's no gaurantee that the Titans will cover but they are probably the best team in the NFL right now and Kansas City is certainly in the conversation for the worst team. Based on that alone, you would expect this spread to be at least 10 points, but I don't think the oddsmakers have been impressed with Tennessee's road performances so far. I think that the Jets being favored by 3 at Oakland was not a big enough spread. The Jets look like they got some things together and should be able to handle Oakland. I'm a little surprised that Indianapolis is favored over Green Bay on the road, because they haven't really played a strong game offensively on the road yet. That is a huge game for both teams though.