Saturday, September 6, 2008

NFL Picks - Week 1 - 2008


Since the NFL has started now, I will be giving you weekly picks against the spread and I will be joined by Ed from Ed The Sports Fan (2008 Black Weblog Award Winner for Best Sports Blog) and Joe from What's The 401?!?!. We will be competing all year for bragging rights and I will be updating the records after each week.

In addition, I will also be giving the Against The Spread(ATS) trends for each game. Spreads are from Yahoo NFL Odds as of Friday morning:

Arizona by 2.5 at San Francisco:

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Cardinals are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
49ers are 5-3-1 ATS in their last 9 games against ARZ.
49ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West.
49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

at Buffalo by 1 over Seattle:

Seahawks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
Seahawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Bills are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games on turf.
Bills are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Bills are 9-4 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Cincinnati by 1.5 at Baltimore:

Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against BAL.
Benglas are 4-13 in their last 17 games on the road against BAL.
Bengals are 5-9-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Bengals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Ravens are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Ravens are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Ravens are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC North.
Ravens are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.


Dallas by 5.5 at Cleveland:

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cowboys are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.

Browns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Browns are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Browns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Browns are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 1.


Detroit by 3 at Atlanta:

Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Lions are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against ATL.
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against ATL.

Falcons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 1.
Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Falcons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.


at Indianapolis by 9.5 over Chicago:

Bears are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bears are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1.
Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Colts are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Colts are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Colts are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games in September.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.


Jacksonville by 3 at Tennessee:

Jaguars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 1.
Jaguars are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.

Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Titans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Titans are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 home games agains JAX.


at New England by 15.5 over Kansas City:

Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Cheifs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against NE.

Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf.
Patriots are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.


at New Orleans by 3 over Tampa Bay:

Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC South.
Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1.
Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Buccaneers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 5 games against NO.
Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games against NO.

Saints are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 home games.
Saints are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Saints are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South.


NY Jets by 3 at Miami:

Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games against MIA.
Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road against MIA.

Dolphins are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 1.
Dolphins are 5-9-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Dolphins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Dolphins are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 vs. AFC.
Dolphins are 10-27-1 ATS in their last 38 home games.
Dolphins are 5-21-2 ATS in their last 28 vs. AFC East.
Dolphins are 0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.


at Philadelphia by 7.5 over St. Louis:

Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Rams are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

Eagles are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against STL.
Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against STL.


at Pittsburgh by 6.5 over Houston:

Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Steelers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Steelers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.


at San Diego by 9 over Carolina:

Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.

Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1.
Chargers are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 games on grass.
Chargers are 44-20-2 ATS in their last 66 games overall.


Denver by 3 at Oakland:

Broncos are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Broncos are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Broncos are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC West.
Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against DEN.
Raiders are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Raiders are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
Raiders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games on grass.
Raiders are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games.
Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Raiders are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.


at Green Bay by 2.5 over Minnesota:

Vikings are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games against GB.
Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road against GB.
Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1.
Vikings are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Vikings are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. NFC North.

Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Packers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
Packers are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 vs. NFC.
Packers are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North.
Packers are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 Monday games.


NFL Picks - Week 1 -2008:

Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: NY Jets over Miami. The Jets have owned the Dolphins for a while now having won 7 of the last 8 games against Miami and 16 of the last 20. I think they are a much better team then the Dolphins and will cover the 3 point spread.

Sleeper Pick: Buffalo over Seattle. Buffalo is tough at home and Seattle struggled on the road last season. I think they might be able to pull off an upset in Week 1 and cover the spread.

Danger Game: Arizona by 3 over San Francisco. Arizona isn't the greatest road team having lost 14 of their last 20 games on the road and if they don't win this game they won't cover the spread. Plus, everyone is assuming that SF stinks, but they are good enough to beat Arizona at home. Of course, Arizona has won 2 of the 3 games in SF though. I would stay away from this game if I was betting.

More: NFL Picks

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